Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000158 0.000174 0.000192 0.000213 0.000236 0.000262 0.000292
2025-06-08 0.000122 0.000145 0.000172 0.000206 0.000248 0.000297 0.000361
2025-06-15 0.000105 0.000132 0.000165 0.000209 0.000266 0.000340 0.000443
2025-06-22 0.000094 0.000123 0.000160 0.000213 0.000286 0.000385 0.000532
2025-06-29 0.000083 0.000112 0.000151 0.000209 0.000292 0.000411 0.000597
2025-07-06 0.000072 0.000100 0.000140 0.000200 0.000290 0.000424 0.000643
2025-07-13 0.000066 0.000095 0.000136 0.000200 0.000301 0.000458 0.000726
2025-07-20 0.000062 0.000091 0.000134 0.000204 0.000316 0.000498 0.000823
2025-07-27 0.000057 0.000086 0.000129 0.000202 0.000323 0.000526 0.000903
2025-08-03 0.000054 0.000083 0.000128 0.000205 0.000338 0.000567 0.001013
2025-08-10 0.000050 0.000079 0.000123 0.000202 0.000342 0.000591 0.001095
2025-08-17 0.000047 0.000075 0.000120 0.000201 0.000349 0.000621 0.001189
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000071 0.000116 0.000198 0.000354 0.000649 0.001291
2025-08-31 0.000040 0.000066 0.000109 0.000192 0.000351 0.000661 0.001361
2025-09-07 0.000038 0.000064 0.000108 0.000194 0.000365 0.000710 0.001520
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000062 0.000108 0.000198 0.000383 0.000769 0.001714
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000059 0.000103 0.000194 0.000384 0.000792 0.001826
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000055 0.000097 0.000186 0.000375 0.000792 0.001880
2025-10-05 0.000030 0.000053 0.000096 0.000186 0.000385 0.000837 0.002061
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000052 0.000095 0.000189 0.000401 0.000896 0.002289
2025-10-19 0.000027 0.000050 0.000093 0.000188 0.000406 0.000931 0.002459
2025-10-26 0.000026 0.000049 0.000092 0.000190 0.000421 0.000993 0.002721
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000047 0.000090 0.000188 0.000424 0.001023 0.002894